0x237A8b9f737674F32064979878506a1E32aB176D-1775483362823
0x237a8b9f737674f32064979878506a1e32ab176d
- Realised P&L
- $-84.99
- Volume
- $12.8k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $6.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)13.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.33at 0.060Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
- +$14.96at 0.018Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
- +$9.06at 0.184Timberwolves vs. Spurs
- +$6.33at 0.070Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
- +$2.15at 0.260Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 19:26 | Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 05-07 19:39 | Will Trump insult MBS by May 15? | BUY | 0.2299999456 | $3.00 |
| 05-07 19:38 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.074 | $1.09 |
| 05-07 19:33 | Trump goes to space in 2026? | BUY | 0.0329999684 | $1.00 |
| 05-07 19:32 | Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? | BUY | 0.0438436244 | $3.00 |
| 05-07 19:30 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0889999842 | $5.00 |
| 05-05 16:12 | Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 05-05 16:00 | Lakers vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.1399999627 | $3.00 |
| 05-05 15:57 | Will Petr Yan fight Umar Nurmagomedov next? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 05-05 15:56 | Lakers vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 05-05 15:55 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0549999746 | $2.00 |
| 05-04 17:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 05-04 17:32 | Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31? | BUY | 0.0212150229 | $1.00 |
| 05-04 17:29 | QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-04 17:28 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? | BUY | 0.0899999736 | $3.00 |