0x234
0x2375550d3b98ce364476c81f663a0b878cb0691f
- Realised P&L
- $25.8k
- Volume
- $1.45M
- Markets traded
- 2,120
- Open portfolio
- $120.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,120
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.5kat 0.091Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?
- +$5.7kat 0.272Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
- +$2.9kat 0.030Will Trump say "China" during the State of the Union address?
- +$2.3kat 0.618Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)
- +$2.0kat 0.724Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 12:37 | Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.80 |
| 09-18 12:36 | Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.3 | $4.80 |
| 09-18 12:36 | Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.3 | $2.10 |
| 09-18 12:35 | Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.35 | $8.05 |
| 09-18 12:35 | Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.40 |
| 09-18 12:35 | Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.35 | $8.29 |
| 09-18 12:35 | Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.35 | $8.75 |
| 09-18 12:35 | Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.35 | $3.15 |
| 09-18 12:35 | Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.20 |
| 09-18 12:34 | Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.4 | $7.60 |
| 09-18 12:34 | Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.45 | $9.45 |
| 09-18 12:34 | Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.3 | $2.70 |
| 09-18 12:34 | Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.4 | $9.20 |
| 09-18 12:34 | Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.60 |
| 09-18 12:34 | Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.80 |