PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x234

0x2375550d3b98ce364476c81f663a0b878cb0691f

Realised P&L
$23.6k
Volume
$1.40M
Markets traded
1,964
Open portfolio
$443.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,964
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration76.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? · No0.5520.820$332.92+$108.79
Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? · Yes0.7950.910$86.45+$10.96
Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? · No0.0290.021$15.45$5.42
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? · No0.8000.942$1.88+$0.28
Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week? · Yes0.0610.004$0.49$8.05
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? · Yes0.1790.009$0.01$0.18
Will Chuck Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? · Yes0.2600.001$0.01$3.63
Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? · No0.1000.000$0.00$1.80
Will "I Will Find You: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$14.41
Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson? · No0.0960.000$0.00$7.87
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Rose Garden Club Dinner events? · No0.7090.000$0.00$48.92
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the Pacific Division? · Yes0.0960.000$0.00$9.10
Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? · No0.1510.000$0.00$47.07
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Western Conference? · No0.0810.000$0.00$1.62
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft? · No0.1320.000$0.00$649.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 19:46Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?BUY0.022$2.09
08-03 19:46Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?BUY0.022$5.39
08-03 19:45Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?BUY0.022$4.07
08-03 19:35Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?BUY0.022$3.52
08-03 17:17Will Trump say "Transgender" during his Executive Order signing?BUY0.76$36.48
08-03 16:40Will Trump say "Oil", "Gas", or "Gasoline" during his Executive Order signing?BUY0.22$2.20
08-03 16:33Will Trump say "Tariff" during his Executive Order signing?BUY0.42$7.14
08-02 06:45Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?BUY0.29$2.32
08-01 17:48Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?BUY0.12$3.48
07-31 16:09Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?BUY0.051$5.10
07-31 11:33Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?BUY0.086$3.44
07-29 19:14Will Warsh say "Oil" during July Press Conference?BUY0.93$7.44
07-29 19:14Will Warsh say "Oil" during July Press Conference?BUY0.92$9.20
07-29 19:14Will Warsh say "Oil" during July Press Conference?BUY0.919999996$9.30
07-29 19:03Will Warsh say "Oil" during July Press Conference?BUY0.71$4.26