0x23714463d139cb25566b1ce489641582277823d7
0x23714463d139cb25566b1ce489641582277823d7
- Realised P&L
- $-5.45
- Volume
- $257.67
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $5.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1? · No | 0.646 | 1.000 | $1.55 | +$0.55 |
| Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $158 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.670 | 0.995 | $1.48 | +$0.48 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.981 | $1.27 | +$0.27 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.675 | $0.91 | −$0.09 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.130 | $0.26 | −$0.74 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $105 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.060 | $0.14 | −$0.86 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.035 | $0.09 | −$0.91 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.19at 0.270US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$6.12at 0.278WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on September 23?
- +$4.87at 0.320US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$3.68at 0.389Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $168 Week of August 10 2026?
- +$3.11at 0.430Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $472.50 Week of August 17 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 19:12 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 07:31 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $105 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 23:15 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 15:14 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 06:25 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 22:11 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1? | BUY | 0.6459998398 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 14:00 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 05:38 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 6? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 21:35 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $158 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 21:35 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699995842 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 12:06 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:11 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 11:30 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 03:09 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 15:01 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |