MyCatIsOnFire
0x237011a3ec3b4374cf1e242985469ad64df8c496
- Realised P&L
- $-559.17
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $903.30
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-19.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November? · No | 0.940 | 0.935 | $438.59 | −$2.35 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.870 | 0.945 | $368.11 | +$29.07 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November? · No | 0.850 | 0.805 | $96.60 | −$5.40 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? · No | 0.958 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$588.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.29at 0.952Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?
- +$20.71at 0.962Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 15:58 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November? | BUY | 0.85 | $102.00 |
| 09-06 18:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $255.00 |
| 09-06 18:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | BUY | 0.96 | $480.00 |
| 08-13 15:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? | BUY | 0.972 | $163.30 |
| 08-09 08:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? | BUY | 0.944 | $47.20 |
| 08-09 01:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? | BUY | 0.943 | $94.30 |