0x235F02295a05ADA693364966224B604500541810-1723949624477
0x235f02295a05ada693364966224b604500541810
- Realised P&L
- $323.71
- Volume
- $5.7k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $206.52
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.475 | $206.52 | +$106.52 |
| Will Biden finish his term? · No | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.99 |
| Monkeypox pandemic in 2024? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$136.74 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$400.00 |
| Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day? · No | 0.071 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$34.99 |
| Will Trump nominate Bill Hagerty for Treasury Secretary? · Yes | 0.074 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$42.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$537.37at 0.158Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent for Treasury Secretary?
- +$244.07at 0.506Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$75.09at 0.571Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh for Treasury Secretary?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-24 04:05 | Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title? | BUY | 0.2299999986 | $100.00 |
| 11-20 13:44 | Will Trump nominate Bill Hagerty for Treasury Secretary? | BUY | 0.073912855 | $42.62 |
| 11-20 05:24 | Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent for Treasury Secretary? | BUY | 0.1575430249 | $100.49 |
| 11-20 03:57 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh for Treasury Secretary? | BUY | 0.5711472161 | $100.00 |
| 11-12 22:56 | Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days? | BUY | 0.2999999995 | $400.00 |
| 08-20 22:59 | Monkeypox pandemic in 2024? | BUY | 0.1776315771 | $75.00 |
| 08-20 22:56 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.5059999993 | $250.00 |
| 08-18 21:05 | Monkeypox pandemic in 2024? | BUY | 0.1838882597 | $61.74 |
| 08-18 03:34 | Will Biden finish his term? | BUY | 0.16 | $24.99 |
| 08-18 03:34 | Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day? | BUY | 0.0699999974 | $25.00 |
| 08-18 03:28 | Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day? | BUY | 0.072276512 | $9.99 |