jenniferpineda
0x235737e2edcdec35781777c2d6c101f26c7037bf
- Realised P&L
- $-62.73
- Volume
- $12.5k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $27.88
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.655 | $15.19 | −$0.35 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 14? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.635 | $12.69 | −$0.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.22at 0.530Pacers vs. Bulls
- +$5.04at 0.300South Korean President impeached in 2024?
- +$2.50at 0.999XRP all time high in April?
- +$1.37at 0.338Will there be a US Government shutdown?
- +$0.35at 0.983Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:38 | Will XRP dip to $1.40 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.79 |
| 01-30 15:46 | Will BNB dip to $700 in January? | BUY | 0.996999936 | $11.11 |
| 01-30 14:19 | Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$4,725 in January? | BUY | 0.998 | $27.12 |
| 01-30 12:52 | Will Lighter reach $3.50 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.46 |
| 12-29 22:45 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999398 | $5.90 |
| 12-29 22:36 | Putin out as President of Russia in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.56 |
| 12-29 22:16 | Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $8.55 |
| 12-29 21:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9969999807 | $36.70 |
| 10-31 00:00 | Will OpenAI have the top AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.74 |
| 10-30 22:55 | Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $16.40 |
| 10-30 19:22 | Will XRP reach $3.50 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.23 |
| 09-29 11:01 | Will OpenAI have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $14.38 |
| 09-29 02:20 | Russia announces air truce by September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.31 |
| 09-29 00:48 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.9989999883 | $19.75 |
| 09-28 23:03 | Will Google have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $13.07 |