PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

gamblingisgud

0x234ceb65a1507e2ecd34b4754b89acbb160e6a55

Realised P&L
$-92.08
Volume
$1.0k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$15.28

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-9.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration38.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2300.045$9.78$40.22
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1000.055$5.50$4.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-20 02:41Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?BUY0.2299999869$10.00
03-30 10:08US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?SELL0.989$10.99
03-25 10:18US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY0.809999991$9.00
03-18 04:29Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETBUY0.4699998919$1.94
03-18 04:09Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETBUY0.8099999554$1.98
03-18 02:52Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETBUY0.4299999505$1.94
03-18 01:41Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETBUY0.459999885$1.94
03-18 01:28Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETSELL0.99$3.15
03-18 01:17Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETBUY0.619999969$1.94
01-18 01:57Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.1$10.00
01-18 01:56Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?BUY0.013$5.00
01-07 22:46Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?BUY0.6099999988$25.00
01-07 22:39Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2299999968$50.00
01-07 22:37Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?BUY0.0510903985$9.27