0x234c96d402d7cfb7914724017b6f458e517a90db
- Realised P&L
- $-718.02
- Volume
- $149.9k
- Markets traded
- 2,309
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,309
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$614.70at 0.543Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
- +$407.12at 0.631Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
- +$356.52at 0.548Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
- +$334.50at 0.554Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
- +$329.51at 0.562Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 23:00 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on September 18? | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 09-17 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.5699999918 | $25.00 |
| 09-17 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.3637951106 | $25.00 |
| 09-17 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.6499999987 | $25.00 |
| 09-17 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.2399999992 | $25.00 |
| 09-17 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.2594810375 | $25.00 |
| 09-17 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.6075697209 | $25.00 |
| 09-17 09:00 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.4166666667 | $25.00 |
| 09-17 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.589999991 | $25.00 |
| 09-16 23:00 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on September 17? | BUY | 0.6051130994 | $25.00 |
| 09-16 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.5999999952 | $25.00 |
| 09-16 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.4051383338 | $25.00 |
| 09-16 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $25.00 |
| 09-16 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.3576935877 | $25.00 |
| 09-16 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.1972199871 | $25.00 |