X1234567
0x23483ad0a5dac45f24915f7a4351c8c2650bc794
- Realised P&L
- $544.97
- Volume
- $15.5k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ana Brnabić win the next Serbia presidential election? · No | 0.743 | 0.875 | $1.2k | +$183.98 |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · No | 0.413 | 0.422 | $609.90 | +$13.93 |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.405 | $530.61 | −$72.52 |
| Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · No | 0.848 | 0.966 | $188.84 | +$23.05 |
| Will Đuro Macut win the next Serbia presidential election? · No | 0.860 | 0.895 | $40.27 | +$1.57 |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · No | 0.491 | 0.400 | $16.40 | −$3.72 |
| Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.86 |
| Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$345.17at 0.724Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?
- +$151.55at 0.041Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?
- +$74.96at 0.945Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by December 31?
- +$8.64at 0.904Will Ivica Dačić win the next Serbia presidential election?
- +$8.05at 0.662Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 18:05 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.38 | $9.50 |
| 09-22 18:05 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 09-22 18:04 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.39 | $11.70 |
| 09-22 18:04 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.38 | $2.31 |
| 09-22 18:04 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.37 | $4.07 |
| 09-22 17:34 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.37 | $11.47 |
| 09-22 15:30 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.51 | $51.00 |
| 09-22 15:29 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.49 | $14.70 |
| 09-22 15:29 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.48 | $52.80 |
| 09-22 15:22 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.47 | $95.78 |
| 09-22 12:32 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.45 | $57.66 |
| 09-22 12:32 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.31 | $3.78 |
| 09-22 12:32 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.3 | $6.90 |
| 09-22 12:32 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.29 | $5.80 |
| 09-21 01:16 | Will Ana Brnabić win the next Serbia presidential election? | BUY | 0.82 | $407.64 |