mr52global
0x234485c24869cab818c56031dc12402895536458
- Realised P&L
- $4.9k
- Volume
- $69.6k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $10.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.112 | 0.230 | $9.9k | +$5.1k |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? · Yes | 0.074 | 0.048 | $273.34 | −$151.33 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-2.08at 0.048Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?
- +$-139.33at 0.338Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
- +$-255.80at 0.079Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 19:00 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? | BUY | 0.0325414804 | $1.31 |
| 09-17 12:07 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2362699249 | $89.68 |
| 09-16 18:35 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? | BUY | 0.0614774627 | $3.75 |
| 09-16 00:03 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? | BUY | 0.0553866631 | $4.12 |
| 09-15 21:13 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | SELL | 0.1734133961 | $118.55 |
| 09-15 06:06 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | BUY | 0.33 | $212.40 |
| 09-12 13:22 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%? | SELL | 0.0189021259 | $81.49 |
| 09-12 03:18 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%? | SELL | 0.087 | $5.13 |
| 09-12 02:19 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%? | SELL | 0.083 | $3.50 |
| 09-12 02:18 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%? | BUY | 0.124 | $1.24 |
| 09-12 02:17 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%? | SELL | 0.083 | $3.50 |
| 09-12 02:12 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%? | BUY | 0.128 | $11.47 |
| 09-12 02:04 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.2334544411 | $225.65 |
| 09-11 22:37 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%? | BUY | 0.085 | $3.52 |
| 09-11 22:34 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%? | SELL | 0.051 | $1.53 |