PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

mr52global

0x234485c24869cab818c56031dc12402895536458

Realised P&L
$4.9k
Volume
$69.6k
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$10.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar7.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.1120.230$9.9k+$5.1k
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? · Yes0.0740.048$273.34$151.33

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 19:00Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?BUY0.0325414804$1.31
09-17 12:07Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.2362699249$89.68
09-16 18:35Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?BUY0.0614774627$3.75
09-16 00:03Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?BUY0.0553866631$4.12
09-15 21:13Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?SELL0.1734133961$118.55
09-15 06:06Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?BUY0.33$212.40
09-12 13:22Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?SELL0.0189021259$81.49
09-12 03:18Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?SELL0.087$5.13
09-12 02:19Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?SELL0.083$3.50
09-12 02:18Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?BUY0.124$1.24
09-12 02:17Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?SELL0.083$3.50
09-12 02:12Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?BUY0.128$11.47
09-12 02:04Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.2334544411$225.65
09-11 22:37Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?BUY0.085$3.52
09-11 22:34Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?SELL0.051$1.53