PolyBot

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Traders

maxima46

0x233f86afe3ecf098fbaef9f5d56b41dab78ebc63

Realised P&L
$70.43
Volume
$6.1k
Markets traded
51
Open portfolio
$1.87

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded51
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration78.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample49 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration93.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 85 km/h or below in October? · No0.9900.865$1.74−$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 13? · No0.4600.004$0.13−$12.79

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 09:08Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 13?BUY0.4297833632$9.92
10-12 03:53Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 11?BUY0.005$0.45
10-11 06:54Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on October 10?BUY0.98$4.99
10-10 06:35Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C or below on October 10?SELL0.999$5.86
10-10 06:35Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 10?SELL0.999$5.85
10-10 06:35Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 10?SELL0.999$5.16
10-10 01:43Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 10?BUY0.847999983$4.39
10-10 01:38Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 10?BUY0.8459999969$4.96
10-09 23:21Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C or below on October 10?BUY0.843999983$4.96
10-09 22:55Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 9?SELL0.999$5.83
10-09 21:43Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 9?BUY0.8489999855$4.96
10-08 06:55Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 7?BUY0.001$4.99
10-08 06:51Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 8?SELL0.999$6.59
10-08 00:01Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 8?BUY0.7559999745$4.99
10-07 15:17Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 7?SELL0.999$10.08