0x232Bba74AF376271200E3Da65834597C7e181D3c-1762632035068
0x232bba74af376271200e3da65834597c7e181d3c
- Realised P&L
- $-13.80
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 730
- Open portfolio
- $1.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded730
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump resign before 2027? · Yes | 0.081 | 0.020 | $1.23 | −$3.77 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.73at 0.512Jaguars vs. Texans
- +$3.62at 0.453Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2025-11-19?
- +$2.84at 0.585Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs 3DMAX (BO1)
- +$2.66at 0.620Pelicans vs. Mavericks
- +$2.64at 0.530Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-11-30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-01 17:07 | Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | SELL | 0.92 | $5.68 |
| 12-01 17:07 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | SELL | 0.89 | $6.27 |
| 12-01 17:07 | Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | SELL | 0.484 | $5.30 |
| 12-01 17:06 | Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? | SELL | 0.92 | $3.10 |
| 12-01 17:06 | Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.28 |
| 12-01 17:06 | Will StandX launch a token in 2025? | SELL | 0.908 | $2.18 |
| 12-01 17:06 | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.67 | $2.16 |
| 12-01 17:06 | Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election? | SELL | 0.953 | $1.35 |
| 12-01 17:06 | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | SELL | 0.88 | $1.21 |
| 12-01 17:06 | Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $1.07 |
| 12-01 17:05 | Will Sydney Sweeney apologize for her jeans ad in 2025? | SELL | 0.974 | $1.01 |
| 12-01 17:05 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.29 | $0.97 |
| 12-01 17:05 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) | SELL | 0.85 | $1.11 |
| 12-01 17:05 | Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | SELL | 0.71 | $0.93 |
| 12-01 17:05 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.64 | $0.71 |