2561515
0x23262a745c55b2ec5dd75252e2d48135c4f26426
- Realised P&L
- $-713.80
- Volume
- $63.2k
- Markets traded
- 7,333
- Open portfolio
- $3.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,333
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.99at 0.030Ethereum Up or Down - February 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
- +$29.85at 0.065Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
- +$24.49at 0.803Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
- +$23.97at 0.040Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
- +$23.56at 0.809XRP Up or Down - April 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 12:35 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 10-31 17:08 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 10-31 12:54 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 10-30 06:43 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 30? | BUY | 0.69 | $3.45 |
| 10-28 06:46 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 28? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.75 |
| 10-27 19:09 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 28? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 10-16 05:45 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.419999979 | $2.00 |
| 10-13 05:09 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 10:01 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on September 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 01:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $3.00 |
| 08-31 23:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET | SELL | 0.14 | $2.41 |
| 08-31 17:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 17:13 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $1.01 |
| 08-31 17:12 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 16:43 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 31, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $1.04 |