0x2325c1af5bf6c106b3817f324301fa47bbe0803d
0x2325c1af5bf6c106b3817f324301fa47bbe0803d
- Realised P&L
- $1.64
- Volume
- $279.32
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $8.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? · No | 0.410 | 0.495 | $1.21 | +$0.21 |
| Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? · No | 0.400 | 0.440 | $1.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B? · No | 0.660 | 0.720 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.35B? · No | 0.770 | 0.815 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.550 | 0.580 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? · No | 0.680 | 0.670 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $204 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.420 | 0.385 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · No | 0.450 | 0.390 | $0.87 | −$0.13 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.155 | $0.41 | −$0.59 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.036 | $0.11 | −$0.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.97at 0.258Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$2.82at 0.268Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $172.50 Week of October 5 2026?
- +$2.82at 0.268Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?
- +$2.67at 0.278Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$1.91at 0.349Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 06:26 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 22:26 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $204 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 14:16 | Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 03:17 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 19:15 | Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 06:46 | Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 20:14 | Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.35B? | BUY | 0.7699995842 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 09:49 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 00:59 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $66 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 13:08 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on October 8? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 04:17 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 19:49 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 11:49 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 03:48 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $172.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 19:48 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |