0x2321244E9b82cDFD2E7B97a8cDd94cd270e08E59-1776192264430
0x2321244e9b82cdfd2e7b97a8cdd94cd270e08e59
- Realised P&L
- $-62.26
- Volume
- $13.5k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $99.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.55at 0.428Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
- +$2.18at 0.975Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
- +$2.13at 0.316Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
- +$1.76at 0.598Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
- +$1.50at 0.529Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 12:21 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.2870051601 | $5.75 |
| 10-04 12:19 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.4599999669 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 12:18 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3699999867 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 12:17 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 12:17 | U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? | BUY | 0.0599999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 12:16 | Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? | BUY | 0.0422065589 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 12:16 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 12:15 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 12:13 | Elizabeth Olsen as Scarlet Witch? | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 12:12 | Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine? | BUY | 0.3720930233 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 12:11 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.0509679751 | $30.00 |
| 10-04 08:59 | Mark Ruffalo as Hulk? | BUY | 0.6999999767 | $3.00 |
| 10-04 08:58 | Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 05-18 11:41 | Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 05-18 11:41 | Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.1070148216 | $20.00 |