PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2321244E9b82cDFD2E7B97a8cDd94cd270e08E59-1776192264430

0x2321244e9b82cdfd2e7b97a8cdd94cd270e08e59

Realised P&L
$-62.26
Volume
$13.5k
Markets traded
60
Open portfolio
$99.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded60
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0510.043$25.02−$4.98
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? · No0.4200.400$9.52−$0.48
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes0.0700.065$9.29−$0.71
Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine? · Yes0.3720.330$8.87−$1.13
Elizabeth Olsen as Scarlet Witch? · Yes0.6600.555$8.41−$1.59
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? · Yes0.0600.050$8.33−$1.67
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.2870.310$6.21+$0.46
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? · Yes0.0420.045$5.39+$0.39
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0500.050$5.00+$0.00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3700.355$4.80−$0.20
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.4600.425$4.63−$0.37
Mark Ruffalo as Hulk? · Yes0.7000.700$3.00+$0.00
Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau? · No0.2100.235$1.12+$0.12
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"? · Yes0.1080.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 12:21Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.2870051601$5.75
10-04 12:19Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.4599999669$5.00
10-04 12:18Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3699999867$5.00
10-04 12:17Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?BUY0.05$5.00
10-04 12:17U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? BUY0.0599999999$10.00
10-04 12:16Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?BUY0.0422065589$5.00
10-04 12:16Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?BUY0.0699999999$10.00
10-04 12:15Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4199999966$10.00
10-04 12:13Elizabeth Olsen as Scarlet Witch?BUY0.6599999842$10.00
10-04 12:12Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine?BUY0.3720930233$10.00
10-04 12:11Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.0509679751$30.00
10-04 08:59Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?BUY0.6999999767$3.00
10-04 08:58Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau?BUY0.2099999895$1.00
05-18 11:41Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?BUY0.1199998992$1.00
05-18 11:41Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?BUY0.1070148216$20.00