0x23200f5441147213bc59fd3ddaffcbc2b44f4bfe
0x23200f5441147213bc59fd3ddaffcbc2b44f4bfe
- Realised P&L
- $8.14
- Volume
- $316.88
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $10.32
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.495 | $1.90 | +$0.90 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.420 | $1.75 | +$0.75 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in September? · No | 0.590 | 0.948 | $1.61 | +$0.61 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.780 | $1.32 | +$0.32 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $350 Week of September 28 2026? · No | 0.480 | 0.540 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? · No | 0.780 | 0.755 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? · No | 0.780 | 0.655 | $0.84 | −$0.16 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 in September? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.500 | $0.81 | −$0.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.86at 0.278Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$4.25at 0.340US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$3.73at 0.370US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
- +$3.67at 0.379Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $367.50 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$3.52at 0.389SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 04:26 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $350 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 20:00 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in September? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:36 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:26 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.7799995632 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 21:48 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 21:48 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 in September? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 13:47 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 04:53 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:53 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:13 | Will Costco say "Spending" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 11:10 | Will Trump say "Board of Trade" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 03:09 | Will Trump say "Ballroom" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.3 | $2.19 |
| 09-23 06:27 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.3799999931 | $2.19 |
| 09-20 21:39 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $480 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999118 | $2.19 |
| 09-20 03:53 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999704 | $2.19 |