PolyBot

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Traders

ARbtk

0x23165c5a0a657335155d41c1a86e5dcbf5f8a0e8

Realised P&L
$2.36
Volume
$948.20
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration73.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? · Yes0.8700.915$954.90+$46.90
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · Yes0.2670.255$286.50−$13.50
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? · Yes0.5000.525$105.00+$5.00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? · Yes0.4200.420$100.00+$0.00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? · Yes0.7400.735$99.32−$0.68
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.7200.715$99.31−$0.69
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? · Yes0.3600.355$98.61−$1.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 19:52Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.7199999994$100.00
11-01 12:10US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUY0.2612524828$100.00
11-01 11:55US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUY0.2699999999$200.00
11-01 11:51US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?BUY0.7399999988$100.00
11-01 11:49US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?BUY0.5$100.00
11-01 11:48US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?BUY0.4199999984$100.00
11-01 11:44US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?BUY0.3599999997$100.00
11-01 10:11US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?BUY0.88$462.00
10-31 17:04US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?BUY0.86$446.00
10-28 11:14US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?BUY0.986$455.37
10-27 11:28US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?BUY0.9969999949$31.00
10-26 13:57US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?BUY0.9959999981$345.01
10-25 15:54US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?BUY0.9939999966$77.00
10-25 15:16Will Apple (AAPL) close above $340 on October 26?BUY0.9867945045$31.00