privateaccount
0x2311d41f22e63961223e6b9fdf93a8f1878c7810
- Realised P&L
- $607.60
- Volume
- $12.9k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $4.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration95.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.998 | 0.998 | $4.2k | −$2.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$559.31at 0.865Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$20.30at 0.995Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?
- +$4.88at 0.980No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 17:05 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.998 | $110.07 |
| 09-17 01:00 | No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.996 | $207.81 |
| 09-17 00:59 | No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.995 | $58.14 |
| 09-17 00:35 | No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9899346668 | $105.91 |
| 09-17 00:35 | Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.985 | $57.13 |
| 09-15 04:05 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8799999999 | $1.1k |
| 09-14 17:39 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8499999646 | $2.40 |
| 09-14 17:36 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.85 | $2.5k |