lifeisabet1
0x230f0d68d4e4ca3caa8b292fb5b71f8fa42abb8c
- Realised P&L
- $-383.15
- Volume
- $18.4k
- Markets traded
- 422
- Open portfolio
- $64.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded422
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$67.27at 0.115Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5
- +$58.21at 0.450Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO5) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs
- +$43.60at 0.480Bulls vs. Grizzlies
- +$41.94at 0.437Rockets vs. Lakers
- +$35.75at 0.184Gwangju: Clement Chidekh vs Coleman Wong
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 19:27 | Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? | BUY | 0.3 | $4.44 |
| 09-23 17:31 | Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? | BUY | 0.32 | $4.44 |
| 09-22 21:25 | Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? | SELL | 0.951 | $4.92 |
| 09-22 20:08 | Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? | SELL | 0.9372914148 | $7.75 |
| 09-22 02:55 | Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? | BUY | 0.8799999226 | $4.55 |
| 09-21 15:59 | Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.9199998378 | $4.99 |
| 09-21 01:53 | Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? | BUY | 0.4799999613 | $3.97 |
| 09-21 01:35 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 16:00 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.51 |
| 09-20 13:20 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.5399999489 | $4.44 |
| 09-20 06:39 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.6599999603 | $4.99 |
| 09-20 01:32 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.5299999628 | $4.99 |
| 09-20 01:22 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999004 | $4.99 |
| 09-18 21:31 | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 03:03 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |