PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x22fa000a404b70df396193f47cf92567ed556b7e

Realised P&L
$-3.81
Volume
$612.00
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$55.47

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration44.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? · No0.9480.964$15.42+$0.26
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · No0.9420.971$13.59+$0.41
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.5040.912$6.39+$2.86
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.0900.065$4.81$1.85
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? · No0.9000.958$4.79+$0.29
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.8300.895$4.47+$0.33
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? · No0.7000.920$3.68+$0.88
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.2230.080$1.04$1.86
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? · Yes0.5000.105$0.63$2.37
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? · Yes0.0500.024$0.47$0.53
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.2200.085$0.17$0.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 09:46Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.89$8.01
07-12 14:56Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.07$2.03
07-08 01:26Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?BUY0.903$6.32
07-05 10:53Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?BUY0.027$1.08
07-05 03:31Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.948$15.17
06-21 02:36U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? BUY0.9$4.50
06-17 04:15Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.83$4.15
06-13 10:20Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.2$1.60
06-07 15:57Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.26$1.30
06-04 08:16Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.11$4.07
06-01 13:59Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.942$13.19
06-01 13:58Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.504$3.53
05-25 07:31Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?BUY0.05$1.00
04-26 10:03Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.907$9.07
04-11 17:16Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.74$13.32