PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ESC2026AP

0x22f6336f57c38e7a40afb51471e5c7cb70830d1f

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$14.7k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$48.07

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-11.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration87.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Armenia win Junior Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.1100.180$18.85+$7.33
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · No0.0360.015$16.88$21.96
Will Georgia win Junior Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0830.100$12.04+$2.10
Will Poland win Junior Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0700.145$0.30+$0.16
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027? · No0.2730.000$0.00$157.23
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.1950.000$0.00$987.81

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 01:00Will Georgia win Junior Eurovision 2026?BUY0.1$1.55
09-16 14:37Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.023$0.23
09-14 21:39Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.033$5.29
09-14 21:37Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.034$1.13
09-13 18:26Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.037$11.10
09-13 18:25Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.037$7.40
09-13 18:23Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.037$1.14
09-13 18:21Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.037$11.10
09-13 18:16Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.036$0.54
08-13 04:12Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?BUY0.22$1.10
08-13 02:04Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?BUY0.2$16.00
08-13 02:04Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?BUY0.19$32.96
08-13 01:56Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?BUY0.19$5.04
08-12 21:39Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?BUY0.286$5.72
08-12 21:26Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?BUY0.29$1.45