LittlePrince1
0x22f57b6c6672e07ee5a5788e1f9427d9848b795b
- Realised P&L
- $-39.13
- Volume
- $91.8k
- Markets traded
- 155
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded155
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Papertrade FDV above $250M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.549 | 0.470 | $1.0k | −$172.26 |
| Papertrade FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.272 | 0.230 | $281.21 | −$51.12 |
| Dota 2: Gorgc Team vs Stariy bog Team - Game 4 Winner · Stariy bog Team | 0.388 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$187.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.407Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches
- +$989.39at 0.314Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
- +$534.05at 0.420Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner
- +$472.34at 0.659Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner
- +$411.26at 0.390Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 22:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET | BUY | 0.5365673808 | $328.26 |
| 10-18 22:05 | Dota 2: Gorgc Team vs Stariy bog Team - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.3882982714 | $187.60 |
| 10-18 22:01 | Dota 2: Gorgc Team vs Stariy bog Team - Game 4 Winner | SELL | 0.3711317662 | $199.25 |
| 10-18 20:54 | Dota 2: Gorgc Team vs Stariy bog Team - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.4599999993 | $246.96 |
| 10-17 15:09 | Papertrade FDV above $250M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4902360913 | $502.09 |
| 10-17 14:40 | Dota 2: by Owl Team vs Nix Team - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.2316800957 | $100.00 |
| 10-16 21:36 | Papertrade FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2692210999 | $300.59 |
| 10-16 14:31 | Papertrade FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2990871934 | $31.75 |
| 10-15 21:28 | Papertrade FDV above $250M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5998599944 | $700.00 |
| 10-14 18:46 | Dota 2: by Owl Team vs Korb3n Team - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.285 | $17.10 |
| 10-11 19:46 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $1.4k |
| 10-11 19:16 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.7599999992 | $467.18 |
| 10-11 19:15 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.44 | $26.61 |
| 10-11 18:49 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.5699999998 | $407.64 |
| 10-11 17:28 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.5599999997 | $293.28 |