ChH-293
0x22f0ccbbcd04508f8625abca32bca96caed9da29
- Realised P&L
- $-51.06
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $118.73
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BSW be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? · Yes | 0.424 | 0.364 | $42.97 | −$7.03 |
| Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government? · Yes | 0.253 | 0.210 | $41.46 | −$8.54 |
| Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? · Yes | 0.219 | 0.090 | $20.58 | −$29.42 |
| Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? · Yes | 0.765 | 0.105 | $13.73 | −$86.27 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$367.24at 0.290Will the Chiefs win the AFC Championship?
- +$277.33at 0.573Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$4.37at 0.966Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
- +$-50.00at 0.180Will Trump eliminate daylight saving time in first 100 days?
- +$-50.00at 0.290Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 12:06 | Will BSW be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? | BUY | 0.4241551254 | $50.00 |
| 09-28 12:05 | Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government? | BUY | 0.2532809251 | $50.00 |
| 09-28 12:05 | Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | BUY | 0.2186878724 | $50.00 |
| 09-28 11:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | BUY | 0.9699999998 | $100.00 |
| 09-28 11:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | BUY | 0.9399999992 | $25.00 |
| 09-28 11:50 | Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? | BUY | 0.7646898895 | $100.00 |
| 02-09 18:12 | Will Donald Trump say "Patrick" or "Mahomes" during Super Bowl pregame interview? | BUY | 0.1948937829 | $100.00 |
| 02-09 18:11 | Will Donald Trump say "DOGE" or "Department of Governmental Efficiency" during Super Bowl pregame interview? | BUY | 0.4299999985 | $100.00 |
| 02-09 18:06 | Super Bowl LIX Winner | BUY | 0.5199983253 | $300.00 |
| 12-09 12:16 | Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days? | BUY | 0.2899999961 | $50.00 |
| 12-09 12:03 | Will Trump eliminate daylight saving time in first 100 days? | BUY | 0.1799999976 | $50.00 |
| 12-09 11:58 | OpenAI Sora public release in 2024? | BUY | 0.4461164189 | $100.00 |
| 12-09 11:48 | Will the Chiefs win the AFC Championship? | BUY | 0.2899999988 | $150.00 |
| 11-04 16:58 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.5729999985 | $372.15 |