PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

D0cc

0x22e9aff90be9351c7529a8ec8508605e5ca9cb9c

Realised P&L
$-2.3k
Volume
$213.7k
Markets traded
77
Open portfolio
$569.66

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded77
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration73.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)23.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration86.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1980.065$491.96$1.0k
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.2000.070$77.70$144.35
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025? · Yes0.0540.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET · Down0.2790.000$0.00$46.65
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$1.00
Netanyahu out by June 30? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$88.00
Military action against Iran ends on March 22, 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$12.25
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by September 30? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$1.00
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$82.99
Israel announces ceasefire by Sunday? · No0.0060.000$0.00$39.99
Military action against Iran ends on March 21, 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$15.94
Military action against Iran ends on March 26, 2026? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$5.32
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 31? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$1.05
Was JFK assassination an inside job? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$164.54
Military action against Iran ends on March 18, 2026? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$22.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-30 05:28US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY0.003$10.00
04-28 14:24Netanyahu out by June 30?BUY0.0599999994$88.00
04-23 19:52Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.0899999997$245.00
04-23 06:49Iran leadership change by May 31?BUY0.1399999627$3.00
04-22 16:41US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?SELL0.0133945$13.39
04-22 04:55US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?SELL0.9825808415$1.7k
04-21 18:28Iran leadership change by May 31?BUY0.1099999815$5.00
04-21 10:55Iran leadership change by May 31?BUY0.0899999599$2.00
04-21 08:38Iran leadership change by May 31?BUY0.089999919$1.00
04-21 08:38Iran leadership change by May 31?BUY0.0899999599$2.00
04-20 17:00Iran leadership change by May 31?BUY0.07$28.00
04-20 09:16Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.0899999872$6.00
04-20 09:15Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.0899999979$38.00
04-20 07:07Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.2$75.00
04-19 11:43US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?BUY0.29999997$5.00