ReneeJordan6736
0x22e7cfb9ce3ec41a0679bcf4afbadd51824f9bc7
- Realised P&L
- $37.62
- Volume
- $104.2k
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07? · No | 0.790 | 1.000 | $749.00 | +$157.29 |
| Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.380 | 1.000 | $662.00 | +$410.44 |
| Anduril IPO before 2027? · No | 0.750 | 0.983 | $164.16 | +$38.91 |
| Weed rescheduled by December 31? · Yes | 0.341 | 0.100 | $65.10 | −$156.89 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.985 | $60.05 | +$2.10 |
| Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.145 | $16.09 | −$31.64 |
| Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$53.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$468.00at 0.550Will Bitcoin outperform NVIDIA (NVDA) in March 2026?
- +$292.74at 0.590Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5
- +$224.14at 0.270Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?
- +$189.00at 0.550Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% in April?
- +$138.04at 0.318Will there be at least 1650 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:26 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $57.95 |
| 04-27 09:33 | Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% in April? | SELL | 0.9 | $433.80 |
| 04-27 09:33 | Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% in April? | SELL | 0.9 | $52.20 |
| 04-23 13:17 | Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% in April? | BUY | 0.55 | $297.00 |
| 04-23 09:46 | Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $251.56 |
| 04-12 21:00 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $11.04 |
| 04-12 20:57 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $72.45 |
| 04-12 20:36 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $231.20 |
| 04-12 08:24 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $207.69 |
| 04-12 00:03 | Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.74 | $25.90 |
| 04-11 10:42 | Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.73 | $25.55 |
| 04-10 16:47 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $518.16 |
| 04-08 18:00 | Virginia Cavaliers vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (W) | BUY | 0.898 | $299.93 |
| 04-08 08:37 | Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07? | BUY | 0.79 | $591.71 |
| 04-08 06:53 | Will April 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record? | BUY | 0.59 | $215.94 |