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Traders

Erka-RoadTo1M

0x22e645acff2bbb2cd7a74462f8779eb6f53d409f

Realised P&L
$-6.8k
Volume
$9.96M
Markets traded
1,258
Open portfolio
$13.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,258
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3420.420$2.8k+$525.14
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4310.150$2.5k$4.8k
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2060.245$2.0k+$320.24
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2250.280$1.1k+$220.00
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2250.055$526.82$1.6k
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2900.105$524.99$924.68
Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027? · No0.7290.850$451.06+$64.17
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.220$449.09+$225.06
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5680.154$380.39$1.0k
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1090.215$369.31+$182.54
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? · No0.4120.685$358.09+$142.69
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.081$322.00$1.7k
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.971$319.96+$26.55
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0250.074$213.41+$142.05
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes0.3100.066$196.50$733.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 16:05Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.27$30.05
07-31 18:40Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 1?BUY0.0309920018$42.24
07-22 09:41Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 22?BUY0.024$0.48
07-19 07:41Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.802$3.6k
07-15 20:13Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 16?BUY0.007$35.28
07-15 20:13Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 16?BUY0.006$2.70
07-12 11:28Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027?SELL0.9$63.00
07-10 17:35Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.1575$138.60
07-05 12:13Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 5?BUY0.002$20.89
07-01 13:19Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 1?BUY0.001$2.09
06-18 08:04Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18?BUY0.003$4.25
06-18 07:58Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18?BUY0.018$0.31
06-16 11:36Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 16?BUY0.005$12.50
06-15 08:03Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 15?BUY0.002$0.45
06-15 08:03Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 15?BUY0.0299886493$26.42