0x22e3304e71090f779e9850c96b6d129efcac5d1d
- Realised P&L
- $-183.37
- Volume
- $30.1k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $15.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.963 | 1.000 | $10.38 | +$0.38 |
| Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.002 | $4.82 | −$25.18 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? · No | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$39.49 |
| Nets vs. Hawks · Nets | 0.109 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.37 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.109 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.28at 0.813Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 1?
- +$-10.00at 0.001Will the US next strike Iran on March 6, 2026 (ET)?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-17 18:30 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.005 | $24.00 |
| 03-17 18:29 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.006 | $15.00 |
| 03-13 09:45 | Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0185128116 | $39.49 |
| 03-12 14:13 | Nets vs. Hawks | BUY | 0.1094753024 | $26.37 |
| 03-12 14:09 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.1088910996 | $10.00 |
| 03-01 16:59 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9629999992 | $10.00 |
| 02-28 12:57 | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.36 | $27.00 |
| 02-28 12:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 1? | BUY | 0.812999988 | $36.00 |
| 02-28 12:44 | Will the US next strike Iran on March 6, 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 02-28 12:37 | Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $15.00 |
| 02-28 12:37 | Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.00876245 | $15.00 |
| 02-28 12:32 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 02-28 12:31 | Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.001438793 | $10.00 |