0x22d01e8e46fccd1db2f266569051d6de4d9323cc
0x22d01e8e46fccd1db2f266569051d6de4d9323cc
- Realised P&L
- $-8.61
- Volume
- $209.11
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $1.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET · Up | 0.690 | 0.993 | $1.44 | +$0.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.22at 0.482Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
- +$2.18at 0.487Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
- +$1.18at 0.467Ethereum Up or Down - September 26, 12PM ET
- +$1.15at 0.473Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 26?
- +$0.88at 0.423Bitcoin Up or Down on September 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 09:00 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 08:58 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 08:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 08:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4AM ET | SELL | 0.73 | $0.94 |
| 09-28 08:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.7699995842 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 08:56 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on September 28? | SELL | 0.934 | $0.98 |
| 09-28 08:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 28? | SELL | 0.878 | $0.90 |
| 09-27 20:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.9709991679 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 16:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 16:13 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on September 28? | BUY | 0.9489998017 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 12:02 | Solana Up or Down - September 27, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 09:05 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 09:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 27? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 09:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 28? | SELL | 0.991 | $2.00 |
| 09-26 17:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |