PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x22be589856dea626a546626cc3ad7e22b5ba40b8

Realised P&L
$15.97
Volume
$2.5k
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$39.44

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration62.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3420.135$39.44$60.56
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina0.4150.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 18:55Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4149999983$100.00
02-28 20:04Will Khamenei leave Iran by December 31?SELL0.01$2.66
02-28 08:38Will Khamenei leave Iran by December 31?BUY0.3762376224$100.00
02-28 06:46Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?SELL0.991$202.24
01-18 06:10Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?SELL0.6147569213$323.09
01-08 17:32Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY0.4899999991$100.00
01-07 18:38Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?BUY0.2854109708$150.00
01-05 17:38Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3422982864$100.00