0x22be589856dea626a546626cc3ad7e22b5ba40b8
- Realised P&L
- $15.97
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $39.44
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.342 | 0.135 | $39.44 | −$60.56 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina | 0.415 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$173.09at 0.285Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?
- +$102.25at 0.490Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$-97.34at 0.376Will Khamenei leave Iran by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 18:55 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4149999983 | $100.00 |
| 02-28 20:04 | Will Khamenei leave Iran by December 31? | SELL | 0.01 | $2.66 |
| 02-28 08:38 | Will Khamenei leave Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.3762376224 | $100.00 |
| 02-28 06:46 | Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.991 | $202.24 |
| 01-18 06:10 | Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.6147569213 | $323.09 |
| 01-08 17:32 | Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999991 | $100.00 |
| 01-07 18:38 | Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2854109708 | $150.00 |
| 01-05 17:38 | Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3422982864 | $100.00 |