0x22aa580cd8ed992eac77dd1fc6699757addd5925
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $168.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration48.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the median home value in the US be between $407,000 and $411,000 on December 31? · Yes | 0.467 | 0.345 | $82.00 | −$29.00 |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $403,000 and $407,000 on December 31? · Yes | 0.482 | 0.520 | $65.00 | +$4.77 |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $415,000 and $419,000 on December 31? · Yes | 0.112 | 0.072 | $17.31 | −$9.69 |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $411,000 and $415,000 on December 31? · Yes | 0.145 | 0.013 | $3.09 | −$32.91 |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $423,000 on December 31? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.004 | $1.20 | −$9.80 |
| Will the median home value in the US be at least $423,000 on December 31? · Yes | 0.105 | 0.002 | $0.29 | −$14.96 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 20:44 | Will the median home value in the US be at least $423,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.012 | $0.25 |
| 10-30 20:42 | Will the median home value in the US be between $403,000 and $407,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.4640540541 | $34.34 |
| 10-30 20:41 | Will the median home value in the US be between $403,000 and $407,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.55 | $8.25 |
| 10-30 20:40 | Will the median home value in the US be between $407,000 and $411,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.4670341229 | $111.00 |
| 10-30 20:39 | Will the median home value in the US be between $411,000 and $415,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.1454413006 | $36.00 |
| 10-30 20:39 | Will the median home value in the US be between $415,000 and $419,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.1123295063 | $27.00 |
| 10-30 20:38 | Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $423,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.0367513882 | $11.00 |
| 10-30 20:37 | Will the median home value in the US be at least $423,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.1204238022 | $15.00 |