Gringo888
0x22a9d2a18129715351bbb8f081fad758d4c21afc
- Realised P&L
- $-21.90
- Volume
- $196.8k
- Markets traded
- 219
- Open portfolio
- $346.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded219
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$198.56at 0.025Will Minnesota be the closest state?
- +$173.60at 0.160Will Trump win Iowa by 12+ points?
- +$162.12at 0.440Liberals win majority in Canadian election?
- +$161.10at 0.110Will 51 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
- +$94.80at 0.297Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 00:07 | Will the Democratic Party win the MN-08 House seat? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 10-30 00:06 | Will the Democratic Party win the SC-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.40 |
| 10-30 00:01 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.21 | $4.20 |
| 10-29 23:59 | Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.20 |
| 10-29 23:57 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 10-29 23:56 | Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat? | BUY | 0.33 | $3.30 |
| 10-29 23:55 | Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.43 | $8.60 |
| 10-29 23:54 | Will the Democratic Party win the MI-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.58 | $11.60 |
| 10-29 23:51 | Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 10-29 23:50 | Will the Democratic Party win the OH-09 House seat? | BUY | 0.78 | $39.00 |
| 10-29 23:48 | Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.46 | $4.60 |
| 10-29 23:45 | Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.00 |
| 10-29 23:44 | Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.00 |
| 10-29 23:44 | Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.14 | $11.20 |
| 10-29 23:41 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $12.50 |