JMSHZMBR988115
0x22a92610bed6bdd2cf09286bab8ba5b1741b97ba
- Realised P&L
- $45.97
- Volume
- $172.2k
- Markets traded
- 179
- Open portfolio
- $5.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded179
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$733.20at 0.771Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?
- +$640.47at 0.645Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
- +$621.61at 0.613US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$619.46at 0.543Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?
- +$581.66at 0.716Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 08:00 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.6832965615 | $1.1k |
| 09-28 07:59 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.7299974451 | $1.1k |
| 09-28 07:56 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.6799999997 | $94.95 |
| 09-28 07:53 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.6799999994 | $197.56 |
| 09-27 23:30 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999984 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 23:30 | Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.58752738 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 16:26 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6756085439 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 16:25 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6334183716 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 08:22 | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999994 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 08:21 | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.716790489 | $134.00 |
| 09-27 08:17 | Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7603177258 | $65.00 |
| 09-27 08:17 | Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7499999957 | $44.00 |
| 09-27 08:16 | Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7477179629 | $100.00 |
| 09-26 02:40 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? | SELL | 0.49 | $342.70 |
| 09-25 19:53 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? | BUY | 0.5369436385 | $80.00 |