xccc
0x22a8494ba61dc6d15db31bda5881a9acab1d5d12
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $435.5k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $14.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.475 | 0.825 | $8.0k | +$3.4k |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.890 | 0.702 | $3.1k | −$825.46 |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.187 | 0.665 | $2.1k | +$1.5k |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.022 | $341.06 | +$41.08 |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.015 | $309.82 | +$49.85 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.309 | 0.125 | $299.62 | −$440.38 |
| Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.363 | 0.255 | $84.20 | −$35.80 |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election? · Yes | 0.099 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$320.00 |
| Will Trump be impeached in 2025? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$220.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$669.04at 0.767Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$425.81at 0.075Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- +$379.78at 0.818Will Sonic launch before 2025?
- +$241.45at 0.893Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in Quebec in the next Canadian Election?
- +$131.10at 0.310Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-16 20:59 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0396658242 | $26.26 |
| 07-16 20:59 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0188832355 | $273.74 |
| 07-16 20:59 | Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0178030127 | $100.00 |
| 07-16 20:58 | Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.010158907 | $160.00 |
| 07-07 12:55 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.8892548044 | $500.00 |
| 07-07 12:55 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.89 | $1000.00 |
| 07-07 12:54 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.89 | $1000.00 |
| 07-07 12:54 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.8899999999 | $900.00 |
| 07-07 12:54 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.889510769 | $500.00 |
| 06-20 22:14 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2409894677 | $202.95 |
| 06-19 19:21 | Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2391567274 | $348.49 |
| 06-19 19:19 | Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.300472878 | $241.46 |
| 06-05 15:18 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3087241588 | $1000.00 |
| 06-04 08:16 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4999200128 | $500.00 |
| 06-04 08:15 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4898536151 | $600.00 |