xccc
0x22a8494ba61dc6d15db31bda5881a9acab1d5d12
- Realised P&L
- $3.9k
- Volume
- $499.7k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $4.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.890 | 0.635 | $2.8k | −$1.1k |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.077 | $1.2k | +$874.80 |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.009 | $181.62 | −$78.37 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.309 | 0.055 | $131.83 | −$608.17 |
| Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.363 | 0.265 | $87.50 | −$32.50 |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election? · Yes | 0.099 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$320.00 |
| Will Trump be impeached in 2025? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$220.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.6kat 0.492Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.7kat 0.717Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.6kat 0.197Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?
- +$669.04at 0.767Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$379.78at 0.818Will Sonic launch before 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 14:00 | Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $3.4k |
| 08-21 13:58 | Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8399999997 | $200.00 |
| 08-20 09:06 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $0.58 |
| 08-19 16:37 | Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4119596453 | $230.00 |
| 08-19 16:36 | Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3866249189 | $500.00 |
| 08-19 16:35 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $983.04 |
| 08-16 17:42 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $1.0k |
| 08-13 17:44 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $671.96 |
| 08-13 17:43 | Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.6862173666 | $1.1k |
| 08-10 14:08 | Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $1.1k |
| 08-10 14:06 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $176.00 |
| 08-10 14:06 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $176.00 |
| 08-10 14:05 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $3.2k |
| 08-10 09:05 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.036 | $813.75 |
| 08-06 14:56 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0419999998 | $200.00 |