0x229A22F5414C3300d52C4Ce4305B6CF1938a3c6d-1768006681014
0x229a22f5414c3300d52c4ce4305b6cf1938a3c6d
- Realised P&L
- $-660.19
- Volume
- $9.3k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $778.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$521.06at 0.173Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$79.78at 0.224Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$52.81at 0.460Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$47.56at 0.680Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?
- +$30.35at 0.908Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 21:28 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8289999988 | $354.63 |
| 10-05 21:23 | Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.00% and 6.49%? | BUY | 0.9532201447 | $200.00 |
| 10-05 13:22 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting? | BUY | 0.83 | $0.83 |
| 10-05 13:21 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8459999978 | $300.00 |
| 09-09 17:57 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4299999998 | $42.25 |
| 09-09 17:57 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.449999999 | $44.00 |
| 09-09 17:52 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $100.00 |
| 09-09 17:51 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? | BUY | 0.6716978131 | $100.00 |
| 09-09 17:45 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | BUY | 0.974694823 | $100.00 |
| 09-01 17:23 | Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8290119826 | $125.86 |
| 09-01 17:14 | Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting? | SELL | 0.06 | $19.02 |
| 08-11 14:30 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | BUY | 0.9399999993 | $25.94 |
| 08-06 15:11 | Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.94 | $24.00 |
| 08-06 15:09 | Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%? | BUY | 0.3743857047 | $100.00 |
| 08-06 15:09 | Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? | BUY | 0.404138257 | $100.00 |