0x2299991c592eD625f5aaEE9e285adc3C44D3d23A-1781195899775
0x2299991c592ed625f5aaee9e285adc3c44d3d23a
- Realised P&L
- $-44.7k
- Volume
- $423.5k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $10.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.7kat 0.340Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$7.3kat 0.355Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?
- +$1.7kat 0.680Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
- +$1.7kat 0.189Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?
- +$597.41at 0.770Will France win on 2026-06-30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 18:57 | Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.35 | $5.0k |
| 07-06 18:57 | Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.35 | $5.0k |
| 07-03 04:56 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $5.0k |
| 07-03 04:56 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $10.0k |
| 06-30 17:47 | Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.24 | $7.6k |
| 06-30 17:36 | Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.3099999999 | $2.0k |
| 06-30 17:32 | Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4519263182 | $10.0k |
| 06-30 17:25 | Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4199999999 | $1.4k |
| 06-30 17:16 | Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.41 | $3.5k |
| 06-30 17:13 | Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3899998908 | $2.00 |
| 06-29 21:17 | Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6699999999 | $1.6k |
| 06-29 07:19 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.1799999998 | $600.00 |
| 06-29 07:19 | Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.2699999999 | $1.7k |
| 06-29 07:19 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.1799999993 | $200.00 |
| 06-29 07:18 | Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.27 | $4.2k |