PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x228D89152Bb53D94637DC938034562E79f2aE064-1769125664904

0x228d89152bb53d94637dc938034562e79f2ae064

Realised P&L
$149.34
Volume
$3.9k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$45.69

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration57.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration81.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.6910.639$37.02$2.98
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1600.055$3.44$6.56
Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election? · Yes0.2700.785$2.91+$1.91
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.2800.065$2.32$7.68
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0880.000$0.00$40.00
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$35.00
Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$1.00
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$1.00
Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.0510.000$0.00$10.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 18:47Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election?BUY0.2699998542$1.00
07-29 18:37Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.690999996$40.00
07-29 18:34Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.0270000008$1.00
07-29 18:32Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?BUY0.0270000008$1.00
07-14 20:21Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.053614152$20.00
07-14 19:24Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2519999917$20.00
07-09 07:12Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.256$115.19
06-26 21:40Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0509999953$10.00
06-26 21:21Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.915$70.58
06-12 06:52Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.8879999998$274.01
03-24 00:06US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.8$2.00
03-13 15:34US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY0.2099999922$20.00
02-18 17:33Will John Oliver say "Government" 3+ times on Last Week Tonight?BUY0.0809999558$1.66
02-13 21:38Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.2799999854$10.00
02-12 21:56Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?BUY0.35$35.00