PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ifYouDont

0x228765aa09466723f57e6f495a651a7f22a8f167

Realised P&L
$-33.71
Volume
$4.2k
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$30.44

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample29 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)31.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on November 3? · No0.7200.755$15.10+$0.70
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on November 3? · No0.6500.555$11.10−$1.90
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on November 3? · Yes0.2600.245$2.71−$0.17
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 16°C on November 3? · Yes0.3800.385$1.53+$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-15 15:26UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)SELL0.76$3.80
08-15 15:26UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.77$3.85
07-20 06:14Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?SELL0.993$4.96
07-19 17:28Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsBUY0.21$1.05
07-19 15:01Enzo Fernández: 3+ shotsBUY0.19$1.90
07-19 15:01Alexis Mac Allister: 3+ shotsBUY0.12$1.08
07-15 16:52Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.315$1.57
07-15 16:45Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
07-12 00:05Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.5749998994$2.00
07-10 20:52Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.9024999323$1.00
07-10 19:40Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBUY0.8924999509$1.00
07-08 13:37Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?SELL0.024$0.12
07-07 18:22Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?BUY0.2$1.00
07-07 18:11Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.33999983$1.00
07-07 16:18Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.4899999784$2.50