DontCryMontreal
0x227d3f89ce08623908d6385436b1304b9fd1901a
- Realised P&L
- $132.72
- Volume
- $76.9k
- Markets traded
- 485
- Open portfolio
- $8.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded485
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$264.62at 0.118Will PPI YoY be 5.4% in July?
- +$262.42at 0.125Will PPI YoY be 5.2% in July?
- +$253.96at 0.365Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?
- +$194.00at 0.030Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 season?
- +$186.65at 0.339Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 12:19 | Will South African inflation be less than 2.6% in 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.69 |
| 09-18 12:17 | Will South African inflation be between 4.1% and 4.4% in 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.42 |
| 09-17 17:56 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,650,000 and 4,800,000? | BUY | 0.7 | $41.15 |
| 09-17 17:45 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,450,000 and 1,500,000? | BUY | 0.739 | $28.96 |
| 09-17 17:43 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,450,000 and 1,500,000? | BUY | 0.739 | $28.97 |
| 09-17 17:42 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,450,000 and 1,500,000? | BUY | 0.738 | $28.91 |
| 09-17 16:45 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,650,000 and 4,800,000? | BUY | 0.7318466409 | $83.23 |
| 09-17 16:20 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,350,000 and 1,400,000? | BUY | 0.2 | $40.00 |
| 09-17 16:16 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,450,000 and 1,500,000? | BUY | 0.7599818811 | $138.42 |
| 09-17 15:40 | Will Adam Barnett win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election? | BUY | 0.94 | $37.59 |
| 09-17 15:40 | Will Adam Barnett win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election? | BUY | 0.9290909091 | $51.10 |
| 09-16 10:54 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be 4,000,000 or more? | BUY | 0.2276231505 | $38.31 |
| 09-16 10:50 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,000,000 and 3,250,000? | BUY | 0.7890998235 | $201.18 |
| 09-16 10:40 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be less than 2,500,000? | BUY | 0.8112037844 | $195.49 |
| 09-16 08:49 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be between 5,500,000 and 6,000,000? | SELL | 0.46 | $103.50 |