PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

DontCryMontreal

0x227d3f89ce08623908d6385436b1304b9fd1901a

Realised P&L
$-423.42
Volume
$125.9k
Markets traded
740
Open portfolio
$10.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded740
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Henrietta Modig Serrate be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kronoberg? · Yes0.5800.897$448.50+$158.50
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas be 1,200,000 or more? · No0.8640.855$367.74−$3.71
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes0.4130.725$326.25+$140.17
Will Rachel De Basso be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County? · Yes0.7450.780$259.31+$11.54
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be 5,600,000 or more? · No0.8410.928$236.90+$22.35
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,200,000 and 1,250,000? · No0.9100.957$229.79+$11.25
Will Roman Zarzycký be the next Mayor of Plzeň? · Yes0.7370.996$229.08+$59.58
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be 1,600,000 or more? · No0.9650.877$226.13−$22.70
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut be less than 1,000,000? · No0.9800.931$225.40−$11.64
Will Jakub Hruška be the next Mayor of Brno? · Yes0.2300.967$193.40+$147.40
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,000,000 and 3,250,000? · No0.7890.920$183.95+$26.17
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky be between 1,700,000 and 1,800,000? · No0.8800.896$167.99+$3.03
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas be between 800,000 and 900,000? · No0.9740.986$160.06+$1.88
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,450,000 and 1,500,000? · No0.7510.990$134.28+$32.47
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? · Yes0.4670.785$125.43+$50.83

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 18:26Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas be 1,200,000 or more?BUY0.98$32.40
11-02 18:26Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas be 1,200,000 or more?BUY0.97$34.92
11-02 18:26Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas be 1,200,000 or more?BUY0.913$63.91
11-02 18:25Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas be between 900,000 and 1,000,000?BUY0.9766544025$116.80
11-02 18:25Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas be between 800,000 and 900,000?BUY0.9739269817$177.66
11-02 18:09Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be 720,000 or more?BUY0.9803720238$39.53
11-02 15:22Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 460,000 and 490,000?BUY0.9931951697$91.29
11-02 15:22Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 430,000 and 460,000?BUY0.9807120743$63.35
11-02 14:37Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Colorado be between 2,250,000 and 2,400,000?SELL0.94$0.62
10-31 19:55Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be less than 3,250,000?BUY0.9527682716$49.67
10-31 19:44Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 370,000 and 400,000?BUY0.23$23.00
10-31 19:44Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 340,000 and 370,000?BUY0.2$20.00
10-31 19:42Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 370,000 and 400,000?BUY0.228725$9.15
10-31 19:41Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 340,000 and 370,000?BUY0.188$7.52
10-30 12:34Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania be between 6,000,000 and 6,500,000?BUY0.949$56.94