ObiVanCannabis
0x22726205a13f4faeff8ee90340a751482a9db294
- Realised P&L
- $-12.4k
- Volume
- $90.5k
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-13.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.070 | $1.6k | −$446.76 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 18? · No | 0.012 | 0.004 | $0.29 | −$0.71 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? · Yes | 0.197 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$513.00 |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? · No | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$101.00 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.00 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? · Yes | 0.234 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? · Yes | 0.505 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$125.04at 0.713US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
- +$40.00at 0.801Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?
- +$21.70at 0.855Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 14, 2026?
- +$18.84at 0.859US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$16.64at 0.921Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 11, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 15:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0897660497 | $2.0k |
| 09-12 14:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $0.49 |
| 09-12 14:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.0119999999 | $1.00 |
| 04-14 16:40 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? | BUY | 0.1 | $22.00 |
| 04-07 21:31 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? | BUY | 0.5051741444 | $1.4k |
| 03-30 23:26 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | SELL | 0.1306006932 | $1.2k |
| 03-29 21:46 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | SELL | 0.0788815233 | $52.80 |
| 03-25 14:49 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.1k |
| 03-24 22:47 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March? | SELL | 0.006 | $9.77 |
| 03-22 23:03 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? | SELL | 0.084168985 | $1.1k |
| 03-16 19:36 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | BUY | 0.5061189071 | $995.00 |
| 03-16 19:31 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | BUY | 0.645325069 | $1000.00 |
| 03-15 20:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $0.97 |
| 03-15 19:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $0.97 |
| 03-15 19:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $0.98 |