lilyanaaino
0x2272378e60a3e3f62e6fd15a468f98f5643dc03b
- Realised P&L
- $-252.81
- Volume
- $13.4k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $219.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)79.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macron out by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.962 | 0.962 | $58.09 | −$0.03 |
| Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? · No | 0.985 | 0.975 | $54.57 | −$0.59 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.964 | 0.954 | $54.35 | −$0.60 |
| Will Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? · No | 0.940 | 0.895 | $52.80 | −$2.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$709.07at 0.570Jets vs. Stars
- +$578.20at 0.510Astros vs. Orioles
- +$565.00at 0.500Solana Up or Down on July 11?
- +$466.84at 0.560BLAST Bounty: The MongolZ vs. Aurora
- +$75.00at 0.500Solana Up or Down on July 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-14 08:40 | BLAST Bounty: The MongolZ vs. Aurora | BUY | 0.56 | $594.16 |
| 07-29 11:06 | Diamondbacks vs. Tigers | BUY | 0.43 | $71.81 |
| 07-10 10:07 | Solana Up or Down on July 11? | BUY | 0.5 | $565.00 |
| 07-07 11:14 | Solana Up or Down on July 8? | BUY | 0.5 | $120.00 |
| 07-02 06:49 | Orioles vs. Rangers | BUY | 0.42 | $609.00 |
| 06-30 08:15 | Solana Up or Down on July 1? | BUY | 0.5 | $595.00 |
| 05-13 07:38 | Jets vs. Stars | BUY | 0.57 | $939.93 |