0x2270f479037e9f4dc6a168736433798c5fe36732
- Realised P&L
- $-5.6k
- Volume
- $44.2k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.396 | 0.125 | $2.5k | −$5.5k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.311 | 0.255 | $564.68 | −$125.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-7.81at 0.052Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$-10.44at 0.002Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$-43.56at 0.227Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$-75.31at 0.299Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 04:48 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999996 | $180.00 |
| 09-16 13:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $510.00 |
| 09-04 14:47 | Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.001 | $6.98 |
| 08-30 07:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $341.48 |
| 08-28 09:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2074471753 | $322.00 |
| 08-20 03:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999996 | $293.00 |
| 08-19 20:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2726313189 | $100.00 |
| 08-19 20:45 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.044 | $35.20 |
| 08-19 20:45 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.2614052734 | $409.05 |
| 08-18 05:48 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $427.00 |
| 08-15 09:32 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.05 | $40.00 |
| 08-14 13:57 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2828379757 | $150.00 |
| 08-12 15:26 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2899999995 | $300.00 |
| 07-28 04:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $408.00 |
| 07-27 12:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3226888385 | $500.00 |