vhbjjj
0x226ee80e55f7b5d11db299ed8dd8a41117eeaab2
- Realised P&L
- $-2.64
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $1.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.04at 0.540Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 3, 2026?
- +$4.62at 0.520Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 29, 2026?
- +$3.18at 0.545Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
- +$1.97at 0.603Magic vs. Rockets
- +$1.84at 0.521Solana Up or Down - January 7, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 11:11 | Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 14:27 | Will Maia Sandu visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $1.00 |
| 06-27 13:09 | Perena FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8099999757 | $1.00 |
| 05-29 08:11 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | BUY | 0.8739999196 | $1.00 |
| 04-25 12:14 | Iran leadership change by May 31? | BUY | 0.8499994475 | $1.00 |
| 03-06 15:34 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 03-03 14:40 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 5? | BUY | 0.0199036663 | $1.00 |
| 03-03 14:30 | US strikes Iraq by March 7? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 02-27 11:45 | Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 27, 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $0.64 |
| 02-27 11:45 | Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 27, 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $1.14 |
| 02-26 12:18 | Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 02-12 15:59 | Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 12, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.30 |
| 02-12 13:46 | Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 02-09 04:14 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 02-04 01:09 | Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.984 | $20.04 |