Karysel
0x226bccd8057ecd26bd042620c6c35c9f3442bcb7
- Realised P&L
- $-571.01
- Volume
- $20.1k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $386.92
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.134 | 0.065 | $364.62 | −$388.11 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.395 | $21.16 | −$6.16 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.185 | $1.15 | −$0.15 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.39 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in August? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.26 |
| Will XRP reach $1.80 in August? · Yes | 0.324 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.68 |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$213.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.83at 0.376Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$14.16at 0.376Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$9.82at 0.009Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
- +$0.13at 0.890Fed rate cut in 2025?
- +$-0.29at 0.140Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 21:48 | Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $7.98 |
| 09-14 21:41 | Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $25.71 |
| 09-14 20:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $27.33 |
| 08-28 16:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4300558822 | $1.5k |
| 08-28 16:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.44 | $29.37 |
| 08-22 05:15 | Will XRP reach $1.80 in August? | BUY | 0.3241191861 | $3.68 |
| 08-21 19:33 | Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.55 |
| 08-21 19:30 | Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 08-21 19:27 | Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $4.50 |
| 08-21 19:05 | Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $15.06 |
| 08-21 19:03 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $81.01 |
| 07-26 08:03 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $34.72 |
| 07-26 06:54 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in August? | SELL | 0.175 | $7.00 |
| 07-26 06:30 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in August? | BUY | 0.06 | $6.66 |
| 07-26 06:22 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $34.86 |