Jeffray666
0x226aca3e129cf187431ce84a7ba83b0575ee22fd
- Realised P&L
- $31.3k
- Volume
- $50.5k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $8.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar61.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration93.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.402 | 0.664 | $7.9k | +$3.1k |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? · Mbappé | 0.302 | 0.475 | $441.60 | +$160.90 |
| Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.443 | 0.485 | $51.90 | +$4.47 |
| Will Yui Hasegawa finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.352 | 0.345 | $34.50 | −$0.70 |
| Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.615 | $9.84 | +$3.76 |
| Will Claudia Pina finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.365 | $7.30 | +$1.70 |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Harry Kane or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? · Kane | 0.490 | 0.605 | $0.67 | +$0.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.4kat 0.067Will Rodri win the Ballon d’Or?
- +$1.2kat 0.523Will Aitana Bonmatí win the 2025 Women’s Ballon d’Or?
- +$672.43at 0.789Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
- +$34.65at 0.758Will Alessia Russo win the 2025 Women’s Ballon d’Or?
- +$12.26at 0.768Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 21:52 | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BUY | 0.4404761905 | $46.25 |
| 10-05 11:20 | Will Claudia Pina finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.28 | $5.60 |
| 10-01 14:01 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.393 | $7.86 |
| 09-30 13:52 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.425 | $85.00 |
| 09-29 20:52 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.422 | $63.30 |
| 09-29 20:26 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.422 | $211.00 |
| 09-29 04:31 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.453 | $181.20 |
| 09-28 22:54 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.422 | $105.50 |
| 09-28 22:50 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.422 | $105.50 |
| 09-28 22:22 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.424 | $38.95 |
| 09-28 22:19 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.424 | $8.48 |
| 09-28 22:18 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.424 | $133.14 |
| 09-22 05:14 | Will Aitana Bonmatí win the 2025 Women’s Ballon d’Or? | BUY | 0.67 | $173.34 |
| 09-22 05:02 | Will Aitana Bonmatí win the 2025 Women’s Ballon d’Or? | BUY | 0.59 | $11.80 |
| 09-22 05:00 | Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.764 | $43.55 |