PolyBot

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Traders

CrisM25

0x22631871423bfc22967b21ef8624d5eda86f96cc

Realised P&L
$-12.50
Volume
$1.9k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$6.39

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.5401.000$1.85+$0.85
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May? · Yes0.7501.000$1.33+$0.33
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · No0.9000.966$1.07+$0.07
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9100.974$1.07+$0.07
Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government? · Yes0.8700.620$0.71−$0.29
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1200.026$0.22−$0.78
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? · No0.2020.011$0.13−$2.42
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET · Up0.3340.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 8? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? · No0.4800.000$0.00−$2.00
Knicks vs. 76ers · 76ers0.5600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? · No0.6900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Trump say "God" 3+ times at Fort Bragg on Friday? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-07 19:02Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 8?BUY0.001$1.00
05-07 19:01Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?BUY0.75$1.00
05-07 19:00Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL0.017$0.47
05-07 18:58Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?BUY0.0409999622$1.00
05-07 18:57US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.54$1.00
05-07 18:56Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?BUY0.52$1.00
05-07 18:56Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
05-07 18:55Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?BUY0.1899998784$1.00
05-07 18:54Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government?BUY0.8699999913$1.00
05-07 18:53Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.91$1.00
03-23 19:52Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?BUY0.2099999038$1.55
02-20 14:50Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETBUY0.01$1.00
02-13 21:51Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.1199998992$1.00
02-13 21:50Will Trump say "God" 3+ times at Fort Bragg on Friday?BUY0.04$1.00
02-13 21:48Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.0359999663$1.00