CrisM25
0x22631871423bfc22967b21ef8624d5eda86f96cc
- Realised P&L
- $-12.50
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $6.39
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.998Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?
- +$-0.55at 0.036Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- +$-2.00at 0.003Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 19:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 8? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-07 19:01 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 05-07 19:00 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.017 | $0.47 |
| 05-07 18:58 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | BUY | 0.0409999622 | $1.00 |
| 05-07 18:57 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 05-07 18:56 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 05-07 18:56 | Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 05-07 18:55 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 05-07 18:54 | Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 05-07 18:53 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 03-23 19:52 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | BUY | 0.2099999038 | $1.55 |
| 02-20 14:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 02-13 21:51 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 02-13 21:50 | Will Trump say "God" 3+ times at Fort Bragg on Friday? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 02-13 21:48 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.0359999663 | $1.00 |