hopefornothing
0x225b68ddd209679e05d1356ed32f0b6ab522356e
- Realised P&L
- $-143.58
- Volume
- $7.3k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $284.65
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lions vs. Bills: O/U 66.5 · Over | 0.346 | 0.320 | $89.69 | −$7.24 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.939 | 1.000 | $53.11 | +$3.23 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers · Texas Rangers | 0.828 | 0.858 | $51.41 | +$1.77 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No | 0.940 | 0.935 | $49.73 | −$0.27 |
| Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) · Seattle Storm | 0.480 | 0.400 | $40.63 | −$8.13 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox · Detroit Tigers | 0.300 | 0.001 | $0.08 | −$48.22 |
| Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April? · No | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets · New York Mets | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$97.22 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.32at 0.004Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 01:52 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.9390962981 | $49.88 |
| 09-18 01:42 | Lions vs. Bills: O/U 66.5 | BUY | 0.3299999995 | $48.44 |
| 09-18 01:41 | Lions vs. Bills: O/U 66.5 | BUY | 0.3632577431 | $48.49 |
| 09-18 00:47 | Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.8279999975 | $49.64 |
| 09-18 00:24 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.4099999987 | $48.61 |
| 09-18 00:24 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.4099999987 | $48.61 |
| 09-18 00:17 | Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox | BUY | 0.3 | $48.30 |
| 09-17 23:20 | Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $48.75 |
| 09-17 23:03 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.9399999887 | $50.00 |
| 09-15 17:42 | Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.75 |
| 09-14 19:31 | Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 04-14 20:06 | Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April? | BUY | 0.0054545455 | $20.00 |
| 04-13 21:00 | Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April? | BUY | 0.009 | $20.00 |