0x22572BCf725c7061fC07721245D4CE0f031c0337-1783286474632
0x22572bcf725c7061fc07721245d4ce0f031c0337
- Realised P&L
- $-200.64
- Volume
- $104.7k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $12.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$161.30at 0.387Will England win on 2026-07-05?
- +$147.00at 0.412Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20?
- +$99.28at 0.239Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First Half
- +$89.37at 0.106Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
- +$73.66at 0.327Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 00:28 | Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 00:28 | Will Trump visit Greenland by October 31? | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 15:33 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 15:26 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.4 | $50.00 |
| 09-20 13:33 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.4 | $100.00 |
| 09-10 22:19 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 22:19 | LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 19:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | BUY | 0.404001535 | $25.00 |
| 09-09 19:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5621301703 | $25.00 |
| 09-08 19:41 | Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-08? | BUY | 0.2299999984 | $28.64 |
| 09-08 19:39 | Will Lille OSC vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $20.00 |
| 09-08 19:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.7399999953 | $25.00 |
| 09-06 04:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET | BUY | 0.6099999988 | $25.00 |
| 09-06 04:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $3.80 |
| 09-06 03:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5599999919 | $25.00 |