PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x22572BCf725c7061fC07721245D4CE0f031c0337-1783286474632

0x22572bcf725c7061fc07721245d4ce0f031c0337

Realised P&L
$-200.64
Volume
$104.7k
Markets traded
49
Open portfolio
$12.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded49
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? · Yes0.1300.115$8.85$1.15
Will Trump visit Greenland by October 31? · Yes0.0900.070$3.89$1.11
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET · Down0.7400.000$0.00$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET · Up0.2900.000$0.00$25.00
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$10.00
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) · Conor McGregor0.2800.000$0.00$30.00
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-08? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$28.64
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET · Down0.5600.000$0.00$25.00
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET · Down0.0800.000$0.00$5.00
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.3720.000$0.00$200.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET · Up0.0900.000$0.00$5.00
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$70.00
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$10.00
LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.0010.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 00:28Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?BUY0.1299999999$10.00
09-22 00:28Will Trump visit Greenland by October 31?BUY0.0899999993$5.00
09-20 15:33Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.0699999999$20.00
09-20 15:26Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.4$50.00
09-20 13:33Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.4$100.00
09-10 22:19LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.001$5.00
09-10 22:19LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.001$5.00
09-10 19:19Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETBUY0.404001535$25.00
09-09 19:48Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETBUY0.5621301703$25.00
09-08 19:41Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-08?BUY0.2299999984$28.64
09-08 19:39Will Lille OSC vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?BUY0.2099999983$20.00
09-08 19:26Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETBUY0.7399999953$25.00
09-06 04:31Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ETBUY0.6099999988$25.00
09-06 04:14Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ETBUY0.02$3.80
09-06 03:50Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETBUY0.5599999919$25.00