ccc0
0x2255f241f26aca91f1b9c6c5d023c72e51db65d8
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $19.1k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $299.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$196.68at 0.604Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
- +$191.10at 0.326Will the Progress Party (FrP) win 22% or more of vote in Norwegian election?
- +$85.50at 0.430Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$68.84at 0.597Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Luminosity (+1.5)
- +$60.00at 0.600Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-24 20:18 | Will Falcons Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $34.54 |
| 08-24 20:16 | Monterrey Open: Clara Tauson vs Renata Zarazua | BUY | 0.27 | $81.00 |
| 08-23 00:14 | Will Falcons Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $6.00 |
| 08-20 11:56 | Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | BUY | 0.47 | $178.60 |
| 08-18 13:18 | Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday? | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 08-16 20:53 | Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday? | BUY | 0.54 | $108.00 |
| 08-16 13:11 | Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday? | BUY | 0.54 | $108.00 |
| 08-16 11:46 | Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday? | BUY | 0.51 | $47.81 |
| 08-14 12:01 | Will Team Vitality make CS2 EWC Grand finals? | BUY | 0.48 | $175.20 |
| 08-13 16:59 | Will Spirit Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $57.60 |
| 08-13 16:56 | Will Team Falcons make CS2 EWC Grand finals? | BUY | 0.34 | $9.18 |
| 08-13 00:01 | Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A | BUY | 0.36 | $43.20 |
| 08-13 00:00 | Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Luminosity (+1.5) | BUY | 0.59 | $59.00 |
| 03-26 17:27 | Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.08 | $50.00 |
| 03-26 17:26 | Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.08 | $120.00 |