0x22535f30260F9e0Bb2603F45d8847CaeDc7Cf8e2-1763929354070
0x22535f30260f9e0bb2603f45d8847caedc7cf8e2
- Realised P&L
- $51.56
- Volume
- $25.7k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran leadership change by March 31? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Critical Discord Incident by April 30, 2026? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$378.87at 0.045Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$305.55at 0.180US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$188.43at 0.200US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$7.31at 0.727Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$5.86at 0.810Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:02 | 1win FDV above $70M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.01 | $6.51 |
| 11-01 20:50 | 1win FDV above $70M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2313889259 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 20:28 | 1win FDV above $70M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2299999998 | $100.00 |
| 09-19 01:20 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.24 | $369.23 |
| 09-16 12:50 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2599999999 | $400.00 |
| 05-14 15:23 | Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.76 | $261.11 |
| 04-02 06:03 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | SELL | 0.1 | $47.00 |
| 03-25 21:17 | Critical Discord Incident by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0021177108 | $1.00 |
| 03-24 21:06 | Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.004 | $2.00 |
| 03-24 20:00 | Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 03-24 20:00 | Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 03-23 18:38 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | BUY | 0.4467664735 | $210.00 |
| 03-21 17:22 | Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.57 | $294.83 |
| 03-21 17:12 | Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5799999995 | $300.00 |
| 03-13 00:22 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15? | SELL | 0.017 | $3.97 |