0x2252afcc474f4113085d48750eecfeb02b8e82e8-1792063579209
0x2252afcc474f4113085d48750eecfeb02b8e82e8
- Realised P&L
- $-35.72
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $57.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.141 | 0.163 | $23.12 | +$3.12 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.461 | 0.403 | $9.61 | −$1.39 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.345 | $6.63 | +$1.63 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.440 | $5.47 | −$1.74 |
| Will David Lisnard win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.164 | 0.177 | $5.42 | +$0.42 |
| Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.505 | $2.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.230 | $1.84 | −$0.16 |
| Will Giuseppe Conte be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.200 | $1.54 | −$0.46 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.979 | $1.22 | +$0.22 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.8% in October? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.048 | $0.76 | −$0.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.18at 0.756Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?
- +$0.52at 0.906Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
- +$0.29at 0.779LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
- +$0.19at 0.689Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$0.19at 0.820NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 13:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 13:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | BUY | 0.649999974 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 12:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $1.38 |
| 10-31 12:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | BUY | 0.899999928 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 12:51 | Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.934 | $6.17 |
| 10-31 11:42 | Will Giuseppe Conte be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $2.00 |
| 10-31 11:41 | Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 10-31 11:41 | Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.4899999584 | $2.00 |
| 10-27 21:33 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.4 | $5.38 |
| 10-27 18:01 | Will David Lisnard win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.245999994 | $4.00 |
| 10-27 16:49 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.6389999879 | $10.00 |
| 10-27 16:36 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1579999981 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 20:35 | Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.31 | $4.19 |
| 10-26 20:32 | Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs | SELL | 0.63 | $7.40 |
| 10-26 19:46 | Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $5.00 |